Frequently Asked Questions
How much risk is there from the various points that Asian carps could enter the Great Lakes?
In general, the physical connections represent higher likelihood than human-mediated releases; however, there is much lower certainty associated with the ranks of human-mediated releases. The highest likelihood of arrival into the Great Lakes basin is from the Chicago Area Waterway System into Lake Michigan.
Are the Great Lakes too cold?
Are the right environmental conditions available?
Is there enough food and where?
Yes. There is enough food, especially in Green Bay, Saginaw Bay, Lake St. Clair, and Lake Erie. Warm embayments in lakes Superior, Ontario, Huron and Michigan should also provide suitable amounts of food.
What number of individuals is needed to establish a population?
As few as 10 mature females and 10 (or fewer) mature males in the Great Lakes basin have a greater than 50% chance of successfully spawning if the fish locate suitable spawning rivers.
What is the potential biomass?
Bigheaded carps have the potential to become a dominant part of the fish community biomass in favourable locations. This means that of all living biological organisms in the given ecosystem, Bighead Carp would be the dominant species.
Where will they be most abundant?
Lake Erie, including Lake St. Clair, and high productivity bays and other areas of Lakes Superior, Michigan, Huron, and Ontario.
What/how many tributaries would support spawning and recruitment?
Suitable spawning tributaries are found in all lakes.
Canada: 41 suitable spawning tributaries in Canadian Great Lakes basin are accessible from the mouth to at least 100km upstream.
US: 22 suitable spawning tributaries in American Great Lakes basin are accessible from the mouth to at least 100km upstream.
Could they spawn directly in the Great Lakes?
This is identified as a critical knowledge gap within the risk assessment.
What is the timeframe and direction of spread?
Varies depending on arrival point within the basin, but predicted to be less than 10 years for spread with direction likely Michigan to Huron to Erie.
How long before they reach Canadian waters?
Less than 5 years after arrival into the connected Great Lakes basin via Lake Michigan.
What is the timeframe of risk for each element?
If no additional management actions are taken:
Arrival - Impending
Survival - Immediate upon arrival
Establishment - 5 to 20 years (short in southern basin, longer in Lake Superior)
Spread - 5 to 20 years
Consequences - will increase over time